Tennessee Titans vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Week 7 Analytics Preview

Welcome to another week of NFL football. Now let’s get to who the data favors between the Cleveland Browns and Tennessee Titans based on analytics.

And if you are new to the site, a glossary of terms are here.

Overall Data Favors: Tennessee Titans due to offense and special teams.

Overall Completion Data Favors: Titans’ Defense

Overall Completion Data Favors: Titans’ Offense

Rushing 1st Down Conversion Data Favors: Browns’ rushing offense

Rushing 1st Down Conversion Data Favors: Browns’ rushing defense

Passing 1st Down Conversion Data Favors: Browns’ passing offense except for 3rd down

Passing 1st Down Conversion Data Favors: Titans’ passing offense

Sack Rate on Various Downs Favors: Browns’ offense

Sack Rate on Various Downs Favors: Titans’ offense

Interception Rate on Various Downs Favors: Browns’ defense

Interception Rate on Various Downs Favors: Browns’ defense

 

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New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Week 5 Analytics Preview

Welcome to another week of NFL football. Now let’s get to who the data favors between the New York Jets and Cleveland Browns based on analytics.

And if you are new to the site, a glossary of terms are here.

Overall Basic Data Favors: New York Jets

Overall Completion Data Favors: New York Jets Defense

Overall Completion Percentage Data Favors: New York Jets Offense

Rushing First-Down Conversion Rate Data Favors: New York Jets Defense

Rushing First-Down Conversion Rate Data Favors: Cleveland Browns Defense

Passing First-Down Conversion Rate Data Favors: New York Jets Defense

Passing First-Down Conversion Rate Data Favors: New York Jets Offense

Sack Rate Data Favors: New York Jets Defense heavily on 2nd Down

Sack Rate Data Favors: Cleveland Browns Defense

Interception Rate Data Favors: New York Jets Defense

Interception Rate Data Favors: New York Jets Offense, except for 3rd Down disparity

Overall Impressions: Unless the Cleveland Browns drastically improve their offense and defense, it’s a clear Jet victory. There is plenty of blame to go around for the Browns’ offense, but you can not continue to play this way and expect to win football games. The advice I’d give is to lean on the parts of the offense that work the best in creating first-downs in the run game. The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again expecting different results. If the Browns think airing it out will lead to victories, then the sacks and interceptions will continue to beat this team’s chances for any type of victory for the foreseeable future. 

 

San Francisco 49ers vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Week 5 Analytics Preview

Welcome to NFL Week 5. Now let’s get to who the data favors in the San Francisco 49ers vs. Indianapolis Colts matchup.

And if you are new to my work a glossary of terms can be found here.

Overall NFL Data Favors: Colts due to defensive strengths.

Overall Completion Data Favors: Colts Offense 

Overall Completion Data Favors: 49ers Defense. 

Overall Rushing First-Down Conversion Rate Data Favors: 49ers defense except for massive disparity on 3rd Down.

Overall Rushing First-Down Conversion Rate Data Favors: Colts Defense

Overall Passing First-Down Conversion Rate Data Favors: 49ers Defense 

Overall Passing First-Down Conversion Rate Data Favors: Colts Defense

Sack Rate Data Favors: 49ers Defense

Sack Rate Data Favors: 49ers Offense

Interception Rate Data Favors: 49ers Defense, but there is a decent disparity on 2nd Down favoring Colts.

Interception Rate Data Favors: Colts Defense massively

Overall Impression: The data favors the Colts, but there is not a massive difference between these two teams. This is a winnable game for the 49ers. However, the Colts’ defense has shown to be at least average. And the ability to create interceptions that can change the tide of games is high for the Colts as well. Thus I’d side with a victory for the Colts. 

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Week 4 Analytics Preview

Hello and welcome to another fine week of NFL football with a preview of the Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns game based on analytics.

If you are new to my work, the link to a glossary of terms is here.

 

Overall Data Favors: Bengals due to defense advantages.

Overall Completion Data Favors: Bengals over Browns D except for 3rd Down situations. 

Overall Completion Data Favors: Bengals over Browns offense. 

Rushing 1st Down Conversion Data Favors: Browns over Bengals offense.

Rushing 1st Down Conversion Data Favors: Browns over Bengals defense except for 3rd Down situations. 

Passing 1st Down Conversion Data Favors: Bengals over Browns defense except for 2nd Down situations. 

Passing 1st Down Conversion Data Favors: Bengals defense

Sack Rate on Various Downs Favors: Browns defense except for 2nd Down situations.

Sack Rate on Various Downs Favors: Bengals’ defense overwhelmingly. 

Interception Rate on Various Downs Favors: Bengals offense except for 3rd downs and especially 3rd and long. 

Interception Rate on Various Downs Favors: Bengals defense overwhelmingly. 

 

Glossary of NFL Matchup Terms

Total O Score: First-Down Conversion Percentage for all downs compared against all team performances since 1998.

O/D: First-Down Conversion Percentage Score+First Down Prevention Percentage score

TO%: Percentage of turnovers per possession on offense compared to all offenses since 1998.

Sack%: Percentage of sacks per possession on offense compared to all offenses since 1998.

OSC%: Percentage of drives leading to a offensive score compared to all offenses since 1998.

Total D Score: First-Down Prevention Percentage for all downs compared against all defense performances since 1998

DOSC%: Percentage of drives leading to offensive score compared to all defenses since 1998.

DTO%: Percentage of drives leading to a offensive turnover compared to all defenses since 1998.

DSack%: Percentage of drives leading to a sack compared to all defenses since 1998.

INT%: Percentage of drives leading to a interception compared to all defenses since 1998.

FG%: Field Goal percentage compared to all teams since 1998.

XP%: Extra point percentage compared to all teams since 1998.

PA: Average yards per punt compared to all teams since 1998.

40-49: Field Goal percentage of 40-49 yards compared to all teams since 1998.

50+: Field Goal percentage of 50+ yards compared to all teams since 1998.

Y/R: Yards per punt return compared to all offenses since 1998.

Y/K: Yards per kick return compared to all offenses since 1998.

P/TD%: Touchdowns per punt return compared to all offenses teams since 1998.

KTD%: Touchdowns per kick return compared to all offenses since 1998.

DY/R: Yards per punt return compared to all defenses since 1998.

DY/K: Yards per kick return compared to all defenses since 1998.

DP/TD%: Touchdowns per punt return compared to all defenses teams since 1998.

DKTD%: Touchdowns per kick return compared to all defenses since 1998.