2017 NFL Draft Analytics Guide

Here is a link to my recently released 2017 NFL Draft Analytics guide. It has over 500+ data profiles looking at all the data I use on this blog. The purchase helps to keep this blog going. So, buy it and share it if you are a fan of my work. Even leaving a comment and rating the guide is helpful as well.

Any bit of feedback is appreciated. I will shift my focus for the next week looking at the future class up until the draft. And after the draft, I will focus on team based draft reviews. In addition to starting a YouTube channel where I will upload informative data based videos.  This blog will grow to new heights this year.

I’m happy for all who have checked out my posts. Left a comment. Or even subscribed, which helps me out a lot as well. The NFL Draft and analytics are a major passion of mine. And I am so appreciative of all the support I have received from y’all.

So, Happy Easter and have a great next week.

 

2017 Free Agency Profiles: Jonathan Cyprien

2017 Free Agency Profiles  

Jonathan Cyprien

Defensive Safety

Team Jacksonville Jaguars
Age (On Draft Day) 22.75
Height 6-0
Weight 217
Arm Length 31.75
Hand Size 10.25
Age Percentile 61.24
MSA Percentile 88.02
Explosive Lower Body Strength Score 92.62
Speed Score 62.69
Flexibility Score 64.51
Bench 18
Best NFL Production Score 86.95286195
Three-year NFL Production average 66.5263748597082

 

Prospect CHECKLIST

 No All-Pro and Pro Bowl Age Percentile: 76 or Higher 90% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl DS Since the 1998 NFL Draft Class were in the 76 Percentile or Higher of age ranked from youngest to oldest
 Yes All-Pro and Pro Bowl MSA Percentile: 82 or Higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl DS’ Since the 1998 NFL Draft Class were in the 82 Percentile or higher in MSA
 No All-Pro SS Arm Length: 33’’ or Longer 100% of Multiple All-Pro SS’ since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had 33’’ or Longer Arm Length
 N/A All-Pro FS Arm Length: 29’’ or Longer  100% of Multiple All-Pro FS’ since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had 29’’ or Longer Arm Length
 Yes All-Pro SS Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 91.53 or higher  100% of Multiple All-Pro SS since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had an explosive lower body strength score of 91.53 or higher
 N/A All-Pro FS Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 33.48 or higher  100% of Multiple All-Pro FS since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had an explosive lower body strength score of 33.48 or higher
 Yes Pro Bowl SS Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 66.24 or higher  100% of Multiple Pro Bowl SS since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had an explosive lower body strength score of 66.24 or higher
 N/A Pro Bowl FS Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 33.48 or higher  100% of Multiple Pro Bowl FS since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had an explosive lower body strength score of 33.48 or higher
 Yes Starter Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 15.46 or higher  100% of 64 start or more DS since the 1998 NFL Draft class had an explosive lower body strength score of 15.46 or higher
 No All-Pro Speed Score: 85.80 or higher  80% of multiple All-Pro DS since the 1998 NFL Draft class had a speed score of 85.80 or higher
 Yes Pro Bowl Speed Score: 42.12 or higher  100% of multiple DS since the 1998 NFL Draft class had a speed score of 42.12 or higher
 Yes Starter Speed Score: 23.38 or higher  100% of 64 start or more DS since the 1998 NFL Draft class had a speed score of 23.38 or higher
 No All-Pro and Pro Bowl Flexibility Score: 85.89 or higher  87.5% of multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl DS since the 1998 NFL Draft class had a flexibility score of 85.89 or higher
 Yes Starter Flexibility Score: 23.02 or higher  100% of 64 start or more DS since the 1998 NFL Draft class had a flexibility score of 23.02 or higher
 Yes Starter Bench: 4 reps or more  100% of 64 start or more DS since the 1998 NFL Draft class had 4 reps or more on the bench press

 

*MSA Rating: The average score of a prospect’s market share production, strength of schedule and age percentile scores

*Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s vertical, broad jump and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Speed Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s 40-yard dash and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Flexibility Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s short shuttle, 3-Cone and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

NFL Market Share Production

jonathan-cyprien

Metric Recommendation: Jonathan Cyprien is a classic strong safety in how he produces, but lacks the athletic ability or size to be an elite strong safety. Biggest negatives are age, speed and flexibility miss the mark of an All-Pro or even multiple Pro Bowl safety. Based on his athletic qualities, you want to take advantage of his elite explosiveness. While devising ways to limit the potential liabilities of speed and stiffness.

Based on his NFL production and some of his metric limitations, I’d recommend a salary of 2,582,625 to 3,589,000 adjusting for salary cap increases. This would put him slightly above the average salary for NFL strong safeties. A good description of what you should expect with Cyprien. Slightly above average strong safety impact, but don’t expect an Elite or near Elite player in the future.

High School Recruiting Rankings vs. HS TD/INT-Completion Percentage Score Data

Same as the High School datasheet, but with a focus on the incoming class. I thought, it’d be fun to have a resource to track the performance of High School rankings and the more grounded/tangible upside from data.

hs-football-qb

The spreadsheet has the ESPN ranking and their actual HS performance score out of 100. Above average is FBS starter potential. While 69 or higher is NFL QB starter potential.

If you have any questions, feel free to leave a comment below.

NFLPA Weigh-In Results and Analysis Spreadsheet

Just as the Shrine Game before, the spreadsheet here nflpa-measurements which holds all the weigh-in results and a general highlight of players who missed or hit certain thresholds. Dark Green means they hit an All-Pro mark. Light Green means they hit Pro Bowl marks. Blue is starter. And the numbers in red mean they didn’t hit the minimum number for a starter at the position.

I’d also like to credit draftcountdown.com for leaking the numbers.  If you have question let me know @Jimetrics, or leave a comment below.

2017 NFL Draft: Underclassmen Pre-Combine Data

Here is the spreadsheet for the confirmed 2017 NFL draft underclassmen who declared early.

2017-underclassmen

I included available age and production tests. Each production score is out of 100. And each position has different thresholds for quality and quantity outcomes. So feel free to leave a comment if you are confused by what the significance of the numbers mean.

High School QB data added

2017-underclassmen