2017 NFL Draft Live Analysis Page: Day 1

Welcome to the 2017 NFL Draft live analysis page.  This page will go live thirty minutes before the NFL Draft at 7:30 P.M. Eastern. I will give my first initial thoughts and predictions. And I will update throughout the night with my impressions as the selections are made. With the main goal of giving some insight into what type of data/analytics if any were used in the selection, and how that may or may not pay off in the long-term. Be sure to check back to this page through the draft and have a nice Draft day.

Lastly, make sure you check out my 2017 NFL Draft Analytics guide here. Link is in the description. There are a lot of very talented data guys out there. But I promise you, none provide as in depth of an approach as I do. Combining all of the major facets of data evaluation including age, production, athleticism and physical characteristics backed by decades(not years) worth of evidence. The draft is already here, get your copy today.

Hello Everybody, welcome to the eve of the 2017 NFL Draft. Running a little late, but I’m here. Feel free to leave a comment if you have questions.

Cleveland Browns select: Myles Garrett, DE, Texas A&M

Key Points

90+ percentile explosiveness and speed.

Plus Julius Peppers like market share production and a similar physical profile to most elite pass rushers.

Great pick.

Chicago Bears trade up to select: Mitch Trubisky

Key Points

Hit both HS and College markers for a Pro Bowl quarterback.

Only one year of production at a relatively older age does not bode well from a historical perspective.

Questionable pick in terms of draft capital given up for.

San Francisco 49ers select:  Soloman Thomas

Key Points

Justin Houston level athlete.

Khalil Mack market share production against top competition.

Great pick

Jacksonville Jaguars select: Leonard Fournette

Similar profile to Demarco Murray with All-Pro production.

Lack of agility testing is concerning.

Good pick

Tennessee Titans select:  Corey Davis

Elite market share production, but did not dominate his level of competition the way Randy Moss did.

Lack of testing also hurts his projection.

Decent pick

New York Jets select:  Jamal Adams, DS, LSU

Key Points

Reggie Nelson level athlete

Good production, but lacks elite solo tackle market share indicating an elite strong safety. And lack elite pass deflection market share in terms of an elite free safety.

Decent pick

San Diego Chargers Select: Mike Williams, WR, Clemson

Averageish athlete in terms of explosiveness and speed

Hasn’t been a Pro Bowler with his market share production since the 1990s.

Poor pick

Carolina Panthers Select: Christian McCaffrey

All-Pro level production

Elite flexibility for his size

Below average arm length. Only RBs with as short of arms to become a long-term starter since 2002 NFL Draft class were Chris Johnson and C.J. Spiller.

Cincinnati Bengals select: John Ross

Elite speed with similar qualities to Santana Moss and Joey Galloway

3-Time Pro Bowl production

Injury history is concerning

Kansas City Chiefs select:  Patrick Mahomes

Pro Bowl level college production

High School production is concerning by not hitting starter level production.

However, with Andy Reid as his mentor. I can see Mahomes becoming a Donovan McNabb/Brett Favre like career.

Good pick.

New Orleans Saints select: Marshon Lattimore

Great explosiveness and elite speed

His market share production is not All-Pro level.

Lacks elite arm length.

Similar traits to Justin Gilbert due to skipping agility drills.

Poor pick

Houston Texans Select: Deshaun Watson

Best indicators of any quarterback in this class.

Elite college and high school production.

Great pick

Arizona Cardinals Select:  Haason Reddick, LB, Temple

Great athlete.

Pro Bowl level production for an Edge rusher.

Age is a concern in terms of All-Pro upside.

Good pick

Philadelphia Eagles Select: Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee

Elite production against top competition

Similar profile to Terrell Suggs.

Lacks elite explosiveness and speed for his size to say he is risk free.

Indianapolis Colts Select: Malik Hooker

Very good production and age.

Did not test to judge athleticism.

Decent pick

Baltimore Ravens select:  Marlon Humphrey, CB, Alabama

Stanford Routt athleticism.

Lack elite level pass deflection market share.

Poor pick.

Washington Redskins Select: Jonathan Allen, DT, Alabama

Great overall production

Good, but not great athleticism traits.

Great pick

Tennessee Titans Select:  Adoree Jackson, CB, USC

Good athleticism and production.

Lacks elite length and size.

Good pick.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Select:  O.J. Howard, TE, Alabama

Pro Bowl level production.

Lacks elite explosiveness.

Decent pick

Denver Broncos Select: Garrett Bolles, OT/OG, Utah

Good athlete, but lack height profile of elite tackles.

Better fit inside.

Detroit Lions Select:  Jarrad Davis, LB, Florida

Above average explosiveness and speed

Did not hit All-Pro or Pro Bowl level production marks

Poor pick.

Miami Dolphins Select: Charles Harris, DE, Missouri

Poor athleticism profile.

Good production profile.

Poor pick.

New York Giants Select: Evan Engram

Great athleticism profile.

Todd Christensen production level.

Great pick.

Oakland Raiders Select: Gareon Conley, CB, Ohio State

Good athleticism traits.

Lacks production and similar to Justin Gilbert in that regard.

Cleveland Browns Select: Jabrill Peppers

Elite explosiveness and speed

Lack INT market share to become an elite safety.

Small version of Eric Reid.

Atlanta Falcons select: Takkarist McKinley

Kamerion Wimbley level athlete

Great production across the board

Poor value compared to other options

Buffalo Bills Select: Tre White

D.J. Hayden level athlete

Good production across the board

Poor value

Dallas Cowboys Select: Taco Charlton, DE, Michigan

Above average explosiveness and flexibility.

Below average speed.

Average production across the board.

Poor pick

Cleveland Browns Select: David Njoku, TE, Miami

All-Pro level production

Above average production across the board at a very young age.

Good pick.

Pittsburgh Steelers Select: T.J. Watt

Pro Bowl level athleticism and Production.

Scott Fujita like.

Good pick

San Francisco 49ers Select: Reuben Foster

Good not great solo tackle market share.

No athletic testing to determine much.

New Orleans Saints Select: Ryan Ramcyzk

Good overall physical profile, but no athleticism to determine overall upside.

Decent pick

Best Availables for Day 2.

Jordan Willis

Tyus Bowser

Malik McDowell

Larry Ogunjobi

Kevin King

Chidobe Awuzie

Marcus Williams

Xavier Woods

Dalvin Cook

D’Onta Foreman

Obi Melifonwu

Josh Jones

Forrest Lamp

Cam Robinson

Ahkello Witherspoon

Carl Lawson

DeShone Kizer

Zay Jones

Ishmael Zamora

Curtis Samuel

Taywan Taylor

Nico Siragusa

Ben Braden

Dan Feeney

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2017 NFL Draft Analytics Profile: Jordan Willis

2017 NFL Draft Profiles

Jordan Willis

Defensive End/3-4 OLB

Team Kansas State
Age (On Draft Day) 21.99
Height 6-4
Weight 255
Arm Length 33.5
Hand Size 9.875
Age Percentile 88.95
MSA Percentile 91.83
Solo Tackle Market Share 74.87
Sack Market Share 93.47
TFL Market Share 97.24
Explosive Lower Body Strength Score 91.11
Speed Score 96.23
Flexibility Score 97.07
Short Shuttle (SS) 4.28
3-Cone 6.85
Bench

 

Prospect CHECKLIST

Yes Hit Multiple All-Pro Age Percentile: 81 or Higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro Edge Rushers Since the 1996 NFL Draft Class were in the 81 Percentile or Higher of age ranked from youngest to oldest
Yes Hit Multiple All-Pro Age Percentile: 64 or Higher 100% of Multiple Pro Bowl Edge Rushers Since the 1996 NFL Draft Class were in the 64 Percentile or Higher of age ranked from youngest to oldest
Yes Hit All-Pro Market Share MSA Percentile: 76 or Higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl Edge Rushers since the 1996 NFL Draft Class were in the 76 Percentile or Higher of MSA
Yes Long-term Starter MSA Percentile: 50 or Higher 78% of 64 Start or more Edge Rushers since the 1996 NFL Draft Class were in the 50 Percentile or higher of MSA
No All-Pro Solo Tackle Market Share Score: 80 or Higher 100% of multiple All-Pro Edge Rushers since the 1989 NFL Draft class had a solo tackle market share score of 80 or higher
Yes Pro Bowl Solo Tackle Market Share Score: 55 or Higher 100% of multiple Pro Bowl Edge Rushers since the 1989 NFL Draft class had a solo tackle market share score of 55 or higher
Yes All-Pro Sack Market Share Score: 84.67 or Higher 100% of multiple All-Pro Edge Rushers since the 1989 NFL Draft class had a sack market share score of 84.67 or higher
Yes Pro Bowl Sack Market Share Score: 67.08 or Higher 80% of multiple Pro Bowl Edge Rushers since the 1989 NFL Draft class had a sack market share score of 67.08 or higher
Yes All-Pro TFL Market Share Score: 78.14 or Higher 100% of multiple All-Pro Edge Rushers since the 1989 NFL Draft class had a TFL market share score of 78.14 or Higher
Yes Pro Bowl TFL Market Share Score: 57.66 or Higher 80% of multiple Pro Bowl Edge Rushers since the 1989 NFL Draft class had a TFL market share score of 57.66 or higher
Yes  All-Pro Height: 6-4 or Taller 100% of Multiple All-Pro Edge Rushers since the 1996 NFL Draft Class were 6-4 or Taller
Yes Pro Bowl Height: 5-11 or Taller 100% of Multiple Pro Bowl Edge Rushers since the 1996 NFL Draft Class were 5-11 or Taller
Yes All-Pro and Pro Bowl Arm Length: 32’’ or Longer 100% of multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl Edge Rushers since the 1996 NFL Draft class had 32’’ or longer Arm Length
Yes All-Pro and Pro Bowl Hand Size: 8 7/8’’ or Bigger 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl Edge Rushers since the 1996 NFL Draft class had 8 7/8’’ or Bigger
Yes All-Pro Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 57.50 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro Edge Rushers since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had an explosive lower body strength score of 57.50 or higher
Yes Pro Bowl Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 30.89 or higher 100% of Multiple Pro Bowl Edge Rushers since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had an explosive lower body strength score of 30.89 or higher
Yes Starter Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 7.89 or higher 100% of 64 start or more Edge Rushers since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had an explosive lower body strength score of 7.89 or higher
Yes All-Pro Speed Score: 71.18 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro Edge Rushers since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had a speed score of 71.18 or higher
Yes Pro Bowl Speed Score: 57.58 or higher 100% of Multiple Pro Bowl Edge Rushers since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had a speed score of 57.58 or higher
Yes Starter Speed Score: 17.84 or higher 100% of 64 Start or more Edge Rushers since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had a speed score of 17.84 or higher
Yes All-Pro Flexibility Score: 76.70 100% of Multiple All-Pro Edge Rushers since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had a flexibility score of 76.70 or higher
Yes Pro Bowl Flexibility Score: 69.87 or higher 91% Multiple Pro Bowl Edge Rushers since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had a flexibility score of 69.87 or higher
Yes Starter Flexibility Score: 6.07 or higher 100% of 64 Start or more Edge Rushers since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had a flexibility score of 6.07 or higher
Yes All-Pro SS: 4.34 or Lower 100% of multiple All-Pro Edge Rushers since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had a Short Shuttle of 4.34 or >
Yes Pro Bowl SS: 4.47 or Lower 100% of multiple Pro Bowl Edge Rushers since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had a Short Shuttle of 4.47 or >
Yes All-Pro 3-Cone: 7.11 or Lower 100% of multiple All-Pro Edge Rushers since 1998 NFL Draft Class had a 3-Cone of 7.11 or >
Yes Pro Bowl 3-Cone: 7.37 or Lower 100% of multiple Pro Bowl Edge Rushers since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had a 3-Cone of 7.11 or >
DNP Starter Bench: 13 or More 100% of multiple 64 Start or more Edge Rushers since 1998 had at least 13 reps on the bench

*MSA Rating: The average score of a prospect’s market share production, strength of schedule and age percentile scores

*Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s vertical, broad jump and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Speed Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s 40-yard dash and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Flexibility Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s short shuttle, 3-Cone and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

 

Metric Analysis: Every indicator in Jordan Willis’ profile point toward multiple All-Pro potential. Except for his solo tackle market share score. And while there is still pushback against Jordan Willis from the “film” crowd. This is an extremely strong profile indicating at the very least a multiple Pro Bowl caliber player. You don’t have to like him, some didn’t like Vic Beasley either.

However, Willis has the type of athletic ability that will be a mismatch on most NFL offensive lines. His explosiveness alone can beat many NFL offensive tackles off the snap. He may never be a consistently elite edge rusher. But many film evaluators may be over thinking Mr. Willis. Or at the very least, they over think the Edge position a lot more than they realize.

ATH Comp: Vic Beasley

 

 

2017 NFL Draft Analytics Profile: Carlos Henderson

2017 Combine Prospect Profiles  

Carlos Henderson

Wide Receiver

Team Louisiana Tech
Age (On Draft Day) 22.36
Height 5-11
Weight 199
Arm Length 31.375
Hand Size 9.125
Age Percentile 73.59
Production Percentile 72.22
SOS Percentile 16.54
MSA Rating 52.92
Explosive Lower Body Strength Percentile 83.57
Speed Percentile 80.19
Flexibility Percentile 40.41

 

Prospect CHECKLIST

No All-Pro Age Percentile 80 or Higher 90% of Multiple All-Pro WRs since the 1985 NFL Draft Class were in the 80 Percentile or Higher ranked from youngest to oldest
Yes Pro Bowl Age Percentile 51 or Higher 91% of Multiple Pro Bowl WRs since the 1985 NFL Draft Class were in the 54 Percentile or >
No 5-Time All-Pro Market Share Production Percentile: 85 or Higher 100% of 5-Time All-Pro WRs since the 1969 NFL Draft Class were in the 85 Percentile or Higher
No 3-Time All-Pro Market Share Production Percentile: 80 or Higher 95% of 3-Time All-Pro WRs since the 1969 NFL Draft Class were in the 80 Percentile or >
Yes 3-Time Pro Bowl Market Share Production Percentile: 68 or Higher 100% of 3-Time Pro Bowl WRs since the 1969 NFL Draft Class were in the 68 Percentile or >
Yes Long-term Starter Market Share Production Percentile: 58 or Higher 95% of all Long-term Starting WRs since the 1969 NFL Draft Class were in the 58 Percentile or >
No All-Pro MSA Rating: 79 or Higher 87% of Multiple All-Pro WRs since the 1969 NFL Draft Class were in the 79 Percentile of MSA or >
No  Pro Bowl MSA Rating: 71 or Higher 88% of Multiple Pro Bowl WRs since the 1969 NFL Draft Class were in the 71 Percentile or >
N/A 6-2 or Taller Arm Length: 32 5/8-Inches 80% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs at 6-2 or Taller had at least 32 5/8-Inch Arm Length since 1999 NFL Draft Class
Yes 6-1 or Shorter Arm Length: 29 3/4-Inches 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs at 6-1 or Shorter had at least 29 3/4-Inch Arm Length since 1999 NFL Draft Class
Yes 8 7/8-Inch Hand Size 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs had at least 8 7/8-Inch Hand Size since 1999 NFL Draft Class
Yes 5-9 or Taller 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs were at least 5-9 or Taller since the 1999 NFL Draft Class
Yes Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 7.19 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs since 1999 had an explosive lower body strength score of 7.19 or higher
Yes Speed Score: 24.75 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs since 1999 had a speed score of 24.75 or higher
Yes Flexibility Score: 9.39 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs since 1999 had a flexibility score of 9.39 or higher
Yes Athleticism Score: 54.16 or higher 94% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs since 1999 had at least one athleticism score (explosive lower body, speed, or flexibility) of 54.16 or higher.

*Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s vertical, broad jump and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Speed Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s 40-yard dash and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Flexibility Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s short shuttle, 3-Cone and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

Metric Analysis: Carlos Henderson has a very solid profile. Above average explosiveness, speed, and solid production. The only concerns are level of competition and flexibility. He played one of the weakest strength of schedules since 1969. And didn’t put up a dominate market share production season despite that schedule.

And with athleticism traits like Limas Sweed and Justin Hunter from a flexibility standpoint. There are plenty of concerns to consider that Henderson can be good, but not great. A player who looked excellent against weak competition. But could disappoint once he makes the transition to the NFL.

2017 NFL Draft Analytics Profile: Kevin King

2017 Combine Prospect Profiles  

Kevin King

Cornerback

Team Washington
Age (On Draft Day) 21.97
Height 6-3
Weight 200
Arm Length 32
Hand Size 9.5
Age Percentile 87.46
MSA Percentile 96.68
Solo Tackle MS Score 56.70
PD MS Score 96.70
Explosive Lower Body Strength Score 53.85
Speed Score 72.82
Flexibility Score 98.86
Bench 11
Metric Score 81%
ATH Comp Stepfon Gilmore

 

Prospect CHECKLIST

No All-Pro Age Percentile: 91 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro CBs Since the 1998 NFL Draft Class were in the 91 Percentile or higher of age ranked from youngest to oldest
Yes Pro Bowl Age Percentile: 78 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro CBs Since the 1998 NFL Draft Class were in the 78 Percentile or higher of age ranked from youngest to oldest
Yes All-Pro MSA Percentile: 78 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro CBs since the 1989 NFL Draft Class were in the 78 Percentile or higher of MSA
Yes Long-term Starter MSA Percentile: 50 or higher 91% of 64 Start or More Starters Since the 1989 NFL Draft Class were in the 50 or > in MSA
No All-Pro Solo Tackle Market Share Score: 61.10 or Higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro CBs since the 1989 NFL Draft Class had a solo tackle market share score of 61.10 or higher
Yes Pro Bowl Solo Tackle Market Share Score: 34.87 or Higher 100% of Multiple Pro Bowl CBs since the 1989 NFL Draft Class had a solo tackle market share score of 34.87 or higher
Yes All-Pro and Pro Bowl PD Market Share Score: 77.18 or Higher 87% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl CBs since the 1989 NFL Draft Class had a PD score of 77.18 or higher
Yes All-Pro Height: 5-11 or taller 100% of Multiple All-Pro CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft Class were at least 5-11 or taller
Yes Pro Bowl Height: 5-9 or taller 100% of Multiple Pro Bowl CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft Class were at least 5-9 or taller
Yes All-Pro Arm Length: 32’’ or longer 100% of Multiple All-Pro CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had 32’’ or longer Arm Length
Yes Pro Bowl Arm Length: 30’’ or longer 100% of Multiple Pro Bowl CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had 30’’ or longer Arm Length
Yes All-Pro and Pro Bowl Hand Size: 8 7/8-Inches 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft Class had at least 8 7/8-Inch Hand Size
No All-Pro Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 76.02 or higher 83% of multiple All-Pro CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft class had an explosive lower body strength score of 76.02 or higher
Yes Pro Bowl Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 38.5 or higher 85% of multiple Pro Bowl CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft class had an explosive lower body strength score of 38.5 or higher
Yes Starter Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 15.02 or higher 100% of 64 start or more CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft class had an explosive lower body strength score of 15.02 or higher
No All-Pro Speed Score: 88.25 or higher 100% of multiple All-Pro CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft class had a speed score of 88.25 or higher
Yes Pro Bowl Speed Score: 61.99 or higher 75% of multiple Pro Bowl CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft class had a speed score of 61.99 or higher
Yes Starter Speed Score: 3.08 or higher 100% of 64 start or more CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft class had a speed score of 3.08 or higher
Yes All-Pro Flexibility Score: 76.41 or higher 100% of multiple All-Pro CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft class had a flexibility score of 76.41 or higher
Yes Pro Bowl Flexibility Score: 61.19 or higher 85% of multiple Pro Bowl CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft class had a flexibility score of 61.19 or higher
Yes Starter Flexibility Score: 27.36 or higher 100% of 64 start or more CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft class had a flexibility score of 27.36 or higher
Yes Starter Bench Reps: 4 reps or more 100% of 64 start or more CBs since the 1998 NFL Draft class had at least 4 reps on the bench press

*MSA Rating: The average score of a prospect’s market share production, strength of schedule and age percentile scores

*Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s vertical, broad jump and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Speed Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s 40-yard dash and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Flexibility Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s short shuttle, 3-Cone and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

Metric Analysis: Kevin King hits all the numbers indicative of a multiple Pro Bowl cornerback. However, scheme will be crucial as he has average explosiveness. He’s a player who with his elite flexibility can become a dominant press corner. But you want to make sure he’s working on wide receivers in close quarters vs. having him explode to the ball in space. How a defensive coordinator schemes him up will be crucial, but in the right system he can be a star.

2017 NFL Scouting Combine: DS Athleticism Analysis

We are finally here, with the safety group at the Combine. And there were a lot of very good safety athletes. The big standouts as strong safety types were Obi Melifonwu and Josh Jones. Both safeties I’ve talked about for awhile now, but with no agility drills, it’s hard to determine their ultimate picture as athletes. But enjoy the chart, and don’t go too crazy over the athletic comps. It’s just who they resemble as an athlete, not as important as production and film.

This concludes the Combine athleticism analysis. I will have a complete examination of the RB group published on Amazon soon that will go over all the data and what to expect from each prospect in the future. And I will publish a few teaser reports on my blog while updating Pro Day data. This is just the beginning. So if you like my work or want to know more about my work follow me on twitter @Jimetrics , or shoot an email to james_cobern@yahoo.com.

Free Agency is here as while. So expect reports on how that turns out as well.

 

2017 NFL Scouting Combine: CB Athleticism Analysis

This has been a fantastic Combine when it comes to edge rusher and linebacker depth. And I think we can add corner to it as well. The biggest standouts of the day were Chidobe Awuzie, Fabian Moreau and Jalen Myrick. Only one of them is Awuzie is someone I’m a big fan of. But if you are a fan of press man corners, this class is filled with them.

With the best perhaps in Kevin King who tested almost exactly like Stephon Gilmore. I will need to digest these numbers a bit more in the coming months. But so far this is the chart for cornerbacks who tested at the Combine.

I will have another post on the safety group, and then I will begin the long process of going through each player’s data profile.

2017 NFL Scouting Combine: LB Athleticism Analysis

The LBs at the Combine this year performed better than in the past, but it was still a bit disappointing. Players like Zach Cunningham, Raekwon McMillan and Anthony Walker Jr. proved they have starting NFL athleticism. However, the big name from this week was Ohio’s Blair Brown. I really enjoyed his film before the Combine. And I expect a fast riser, because his athleticism is on film.

lb-chart-data

Players like Connor Harris and Duke Riley had great days. But there are a few variables in their profiles that I will highlight in the future as potential red flags with them. Not a bad day for the LB group. However, too much hyperbole on some guys who hit certain marks and missed on others.

 

2017 NFL Scouting Combine: Edge Athleticism Analysis

The 2017 NFL Edge class is loaded, but it’s not the players you are accustomed to. Tim Williams, Takkarist McKinley and Carl Lawson posted question marks. While Myles Garrett, Jordan Willis, T.J. Watt, Haason Reddick, Tyus Bowzer, Soloman Thomas, Tarell Basham and Trey Hendrickson offer up some elite athleticism traits. Out of those guys, Garrett, Watt, Reddick, Thomas have legit first-round potential. While Bowzer, Basham and Hendrickson can be great value adds in Day 2 to Day 3.

de-chart-ath

Overall though, there is a lot of value here at Edge. I will be writing up multiple profiles explaining all the ins and out of their complete profiles. Including production, physical attributes and athleticism. But for right now, it’s clear who is a potential star and who is not. I already had questions about Lawson McKinley and Williams on film.

And this just adds more ammunition to explain why. So take tuned for my LB athleticism chart later today. And happy Monday.

2017 NFL Scouting Combine: DT Athleticism Analysis

The Edge Rushers in this class were very impressive in terms of testing at the combine, but the defensive tackles were largely a disappoint. And one thing I believe people need to understand is that when a player drops on my board. It usually is not due to me putting a player from the same position over them due to testing. As much as players at another position presented more value based on their testing. In which case I foresee a lot of other players from other positions being slid ahead of a lot of these defensive tackles.

athletic-comps

The defensive tackle group were:

  1. Larry Ogunjobi
  2. Elijah Qualls
  3. D.J. Jones
  4. Soloman Thomas
  5. Charles Walker
  6. Eddie Vanderdoes

Only half of those defensive tackles have no major questions about their production, or film.  While a player in Jonathan Allen and Jaleel Johnson who I’m a big fan put up average NFL starting ability. But in general there were a lot of red to yellow flags. Even Malik McDowell has a shot at being a flash in the pan type defensive tackle like Marcus Stroud. But I just feel a bit uneasy with this defensive tackle group now.

I only view Soloman Thomas as a legit top 10 prospect. While Johnson and Allen will likely fall as other positional players who have shown more long-term value pop up. It will be interesting to see how the NFL reacts to this new information. But as of right now, I see believe this defensive tackle class has been a little too overhyped.

2017 NFL Scouting Combine: TE Athleticism Analysis

Tight end is all about speed when it comes to the statistically most relevant time at the Combine. And this Combine was the most satisfying when it comes to hitting that speed mark. The majority of the tight ends at the Combine hit a very high speed score, adding to the argument that as much as some call the running back group historic. This tight end group might be a generational class. But before I get ahead of myself here is the tight end chart.

te-chart

The tight ends to hit every minimum All-Pro and Pro Bowl athletic trait are as follows:

  1. Adam Sheehan
  2. Bucky Hodges
  3. Darrell Daniels
  4. David Njoku
  5. Evan Engram
  6. Jonnu Smith

Which brings us to O.J. Howard. Howard passed the speed and flexibility thresholds, but he didn’t pass the explosiveness testing for an All-Pro or Pro Bowl player. This doesn’t mean Howard will be a bust. However, it calls into question if we are overhyping him a bit as a generational tight end. Especially when you add his below average market share production at Alabama. He can improve his vertical and broad jump at his Pro Day.

But at least what I’m saying is I was skeptical that O.J. Howard was a good, but not great player before the Combine due to his lack of explosiveness. And his testing is starting to show my concerns. He’s going to be a good player. However, he just doesn’t have the combination of metric traits that multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl players had going as far back as 1963. This is why you should temper your expectations for him at the next level.

There is enough doubt from film, his production and testing to say taking him in the top 10 of the draft over many other outstanding players is ill advised. Especially when you have other tight ends with better traits and are less murky projections. Howard is going to be a good tight end in the NFL. But there is a lot of data contradicting the claim that he is the best tight end in the class.

This concludes the tight end group. I will be waiting on the DL and LB group numbers to trickle out of Indy. And I will probably not post again until the agility scores are leaked for those guys tomorrow.