Defensive Market Share Highlights

Here are the defensive players who put up market share performances indicative of a potential All-Pro to Pro Bowl players since the 1989 NFL draft class.

Terms for data are as follows.

MS: Solo Tackle Market Share. Individual solo tackles divided by team total solo tackles.

MSS: Sack Market Share. Individual sacks divided by team total sacks.

MSTFL: TFL market share. Individual tackles for loss divided by team total TFL.

MSINT: INT market share. Individual INTs divided by team total INTs.

MSPD: Pass deflection market share. Individual pass deflections divided by team total PDs.

With this out of the way, here are the players who stuck out the most in the 2017 regular FBS season on defense.

Edge

DT

LB

CB

DS

Also safeties who missed the mark, but could be outliers

Remember, the players listed above are not guaranteed to become high quality or even successful NFL players. However, they all share the same data traits of high quality and successful NFL players over the last 20+ seasons.

Use this information to give you some names of prospects you haven’t checked out yet. Or as another layer to an already strong resume for some of them too.

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2018 NFL Draft Pre-Bowl Skill Position Highlights

Here are the skill position players who popped the most based on market share data in 2018 based on all data since 1969.

Terms and definitions are as follows.

MSPY: Is individual receiving yardage divided by team total passing yardage.  

MSY: Is total yardage (receiving+rushing) divided by team total yardage. 

Color codes represent different quality potential thresholds.

Dark Green: 95% of all All-Pro players reached this level of market share production since 1969.

Light Green: 95% of 5-Time Pro Bowl players reached this level of market share production since 1969.

Blue: 98% of long-term starting players reached this level of market share production since 1969.

With the definitions out of the way, here are the skill positions.

RB

WR

TE

2017 Midpoint Quarterback Performances Update 10/25/2017

Here is a midpoint review of 2017 FBS quarterback performances.

A general guide for the terms is here.

Based on 10 year sample sizes that are then combined and compared to all of the performances since 1958. 90+ score is excellent chance of becoming a All-Pro quarterback. 80+ or higher is a good shot at Pro Bowl potential. With 50+ being more for starter potential. And anyone less than 50 is a long shot to be a starter let alone a multiple All-Pro or Pro Bowl player based on the data since 1958.

2016 as a reference.

 

 

Tennessee Titans vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Week 7 Analytics Preview

Welcome to another week of NFL football. Now let’s get to who the data favors between the Cleveland Browns and Tennessee Titans based on analytics.

And if you are new to the site, a glossary of terms are here.

Overall Data Favors: Tennessee Titans due to offense and special teams.

Overall Completion Data Favors: Titans’ Defense

Overall Completion Data Favors: Titans’ Offense

Rushing 1st Down Conversion Data Favors: Browns’ rushing offense

Rushing 1st Down Conversion Data Favors: Browns’ rushing defense

Passing 1st Down Conversion Data Favors: Browns’ passing offense except for 3rd down

Passing 1st Down Conversion Data Favors: Titans’ passing offense

Sack Rate on Various Downs Favors: Browns’ offense

Sack Rate on Various Downs Favors: Titans’ offense

Interception Rate on Various Downs Favors: Browns’ defense

Interception Rate on Various Downs Favors: Browns’ defense

 

2018 NFL Draft Metric Midseason Watchlist

Here is a list of names of players who stuck out the most data wise at the midpoint of the season.

Anthony Averett Alabama CB rSr
Ronnie Harrison Alabama FS Jr
Minkah Fitzpatrick Alabama SS Jr
Daron Payne Alabama NT Jr
A.J. Howard App State SS Sr
D.J. Calhoun Arizona State LB Sr
Christian Sam Arizona State LB rJr
Jalen Harvey Arizona State TE rJr
Santos Ramirez Arkansas SS rSr
Dre Greenlaw Arkansas LB Jr
Jonathan Nance Arkansas WR Jr
Justin Clifton Arkansas State CB Jr
Blake Mack Arkansas State TE Sr
Carlton Davis Auburn CB Jr
Jeff Holland Auburn Edge Jr
Josh Miller Ball State CB rJr
Clay Johnston Baylor LB rSo
Leighton Vander Esch Boise State LB rJr
Kamrin Moore Boston College CB Sr
Isaac Yiadom Boston College CB Sr
Harold Landry Boston College Edge Sr
Lukas Denis Boston College DS Jr
William Harris Boston College DS Jr
Ray Smith Boston College NT Jr
Zach Allen Boston College Edge Jr
Kyle Junior Bowling Green DT rSo
Brandon Harris Bowling Green LB Jr
Anthony Johnson Buffalo WR Jr
Corbin Kaufusi BYU Edge rJr
Sione Takitaki BYU Edge Jr
Devante Downs California LB Sr
Joe Ostman Central Michigan Edge Sr
Josh Cox Central Michigan DS rSr
Alex Briones Central Michigan LB Jr
Karrington King Charlotte LB rSr
Zach Duncan Charlotte Edge Jr
Workpeh Kofa Charlotte WR rJr
Jaylyin Minor Cincinnati LB Sr
Carter Jacobs Cincinnati DS Se
Marquise Copeland Cincinnati DT Jr
Dorian O’Daniel Clemson LB rSr
Marcus Williamson Coastal Carolina Edge Sr
Malcolm Williams Coastal Carolina WR Jr
Leo Jackson Colorado Edge Sr
Kevin Nutt Jr. Colorado State CB Sr
Jamar Summers Connecticut CB Sr
Cole Ormsby Connecticut Edge rSr
Alonzo Saxton II Duke DS Sr
Mike Ramsay Duke DT rSr
Joe Giles-Harris Duke LB rSo
Jeremy McDuffie Duke DS Jr
Kiante Anderson East Carolina Edge Sr
Maxx Crosby Eastern Michigan Edge rSo
Jeremiah Harris Eastern Michigan Edge rJr
Sergio Bailey Eastern Michigan WR SR
Nick Washington Florida DS rSR
DeAndre McNeal Florida Atlantic WR Jr
Anthony Wint Florida International LB Sr
Treyvon Williams Florida International LB Sr
Thomas Owens Florida International WR Sr
Derrick Nnadi Florida State DT Sr
Derwin James Florida State DS rSo
Auden Tate Florida State WR Jr
KeeSean Johnson Fresno State WR rJr
Trenton Thompson Georgia DT DT
Aaron Davis Georgia CB rSr
J.R. Reed Georgia DS rSo
Roquan Smith Georgia LB Jr
Terry Godwin Georgia WR Jr
Logan Hunt Georgia Southern NT Jr
Jerome Smith Georgia State CB rJr
Lawrence Austin Georgia Tech CB Sr
Antonio Simmons Georgia Tech Edge Sr
Ricky Jeune Georgia Tech WR rSr
Daniel Lewis Jr. Hawaii DS Sr
Trayvon Henderson Hawaii DS rSr
Jahlani Tavai Hawaii LB rJr
John Ursua Hawaii TE rSo
Diocemy Saint Juste Hawaii RB rSr
Matthew Adams Houston LB Sr
Garrett Davis Houston DS rJr
Arie Anderson Idaho NT Sr
Aikeem Coleman Idaho Edge Sr
Tony Lashley Idaho LB rJr
Jacob Sannon Idaho WR rSr
Aaron Duckworth Idaho RB Sr
Josey Jewell Iowa LB rSr
Anthony Nelson Iowa Edge rSo
Joshua Jackson Iowa CB rJr
Akrum Wadley Iowa RB rSr
Joe Dineen Kansas LB rJr
Daniel Wise Kansas DT rJr
Will Geary Kansas State DT rSr
Denzel Goolsby Kansas State DS rSo
Kendall Adams Kansas State DS rJr
D.J Reed Kansas State CB rJr
Duke Shelley Kansas State CB Jr
Jerrell Foster Kent State CB Sr
Mike Edwards Kentucky DS rJr
Darius West Kentucky DS rJr
Derrick Baity Kentucky CB Jr
C.J. Conrad Kentucky TE Jr
Jaylon Ferguson Louisiana Tech Edge rJr
Simeon Thomas Louisiana-Lafayette CB Sr
Tracey Walker Louisiana-Lafayette LB Sr
Kevon Perry Louisiana-Lafayette DT Sr
Joe Dillon Louisiana-Lafayette Edge rSo
David Griffith Louisiana-Monroe LB rJr
Jonathan Greenard Louisville Edge rSo
John Battle LSU DS Sr
Andraez Williams LSU CB rFr
D.J. Chark LSU WR Sr
Ryan Bee Marshall NT rJr
Tyre Brady Marshall WR rJr
Ryan Yurachek Marshall TE SR
Josh Woods Maryland DS Sr
D.J. Moore Maryland WR Jr
Ty Johnson Maryland RB Jr
Bryton Barr Massachusetts LB Jr
Adam Breneman Massachusetts TE rSr
Jonathan Cook Memphis DS Sr
Austin Hall Memphis LB rSo
Anthony Miller Memphis WR rSr
Brad Koenig Miami (OH) LB rJr
Joshua Allen Miami (OH) DS Jr
James Gardner Miami (OH) WR Jr
Ryan Smith Miami (OH) TE Sr
Mike McCray Michigan LB Sr
Chase Winovich Michigan Edge Sr
Tyree Kinnel Michigan DS Jr
Khari Willis Michigan State DS Jr
Michael Minter Middle Tennessee State CB rSr
Khalil Brooks Middle Tennessee State Edge rSo
Jovante Moffatt Middle Tennessee State DS Jr
Antonio Shenault Minnesota CB Jr
Mark McLaurin Mississippi State DS rJr
Eric Lee Jr. Nebraska CB rSo
Aaron Williams Nebraska DS Jr
Stanley Morgan Jr. Nebraska WR Jr
Austin Paulhus Nevada Edge rSr
Wyatt Demps Nevada WR Sr
Lexington Thomas Nevada-Las Vegas RB Jr
Devonte Boyd Nevada-Las Vegas WR Sr
Jalin Burrell New Mexico CB Jr
Cayson Collins North Carolina LB Sr
Donnie Miles North Carolina DS rSr
Jarius Morehead North Carolina State DS rSo
Kishawn McClain North Texas DS Sr
Kemon Hall North Texas CB Jr
Jalen Guyton North Texas WR rSo
Jeffrey Wilson North Texas RB Sr
Sutton Smith Northern Illinois Edge rSo
Godwin Igwebuike Northwestern DS rSr
Montre Hartage Northwestern CB Jr
Garrett Dickerson Northwestern TE Sr
Alize Mack Notre Dame TE Jr
Josh Adams Notre Dame RB Jr
Jalen Fox Ohio CB rJr
Mark Andrews Oklahoma TE rJr
Ramon Richards Oklahoma State DS Sr
Dequinton Osborne Oklahoma State DT rSr
Miles Fox Old Dominion DT Jr
Jeremy Cox Old Dominion RB Jr
Demarquis Gates Ole Miss LB Sr
Zedrick Woods Ole Miss DS Jr
Jalen Jelks Oregon DT rJr
Noah Togiai Oregon State TE Jr
Dane Jackson Pitt CB rSo
Oluwaseun Idowu Pitt LB rJr
Josh Okonye Purdue CB rSr
Danny Ezechukwu Purdue Edge rSr
Emmanuel Ellerbee Rice LB Sr
Brian Womac Rice Edge rSr
Darnell Davis Jr. Rutgers Edge rSr
Jerome Washington Rutgers TE rSo
Kameron Kelly San Diego State CB Sr
Ron Smith San Diego State CB rSo
Micah Holder San Diego State WR Sr
Maurice McKnight San Jose State DS Sr
William Ossai San Jose State Edge rSr
Frank Ginda San Jose State LB Jr
Justin Lawler SMU Edge Sr
Jordan Wyatt SMU CB rJr
Trey Quinn SMU WR rJr
Jeremy Reaves South Alabama DS Sr
Finesse Middleton South Alabama Edge Sr
Jamarius Way South Alabama WR Jr
Chris Lammons South Carolina DS Sr
Hayden Hurst South Carolina TE Jr
Deatrick Nichols South Florida CB Sr
Bruce Hector South Florida DT Sr
Marquez Valdes-Scantling South Florida WR Sr
Tarvarius Moore Southern Mississippi DS Sr
Curtis Mikell Southern Mississippi CB Sr
Ito Smith Southern Mississippi RB Sr
Justin Reid Stanford DS Jr
Parris Bennett Syracuse LB Sr
Steve Ishmael Syracuse WR Sr
Mike Jones Temple CB rSr
Delvon Randall Temple DS Jr
Emmanuel Moseley Tennessee CB Sr
Micah Abernathy Tennessee DS Jr
Naashon Hughes Texas Edge rSr
Holton Hill Texas CB Jr
Malik Jefferson Texas LB Jr
Armani Watts Texas A&M DS Sr
Nick Orr Texas Christian DS Sr
Ridwan Issahaku Texas Christian DS rJr
Ben Banogu Texas Christian Edge rJr
A.J. Krawczyk Texas State DS rJr
Jah’Shawn Johnson Texas Tech DS Jr
Keke Coutee Texas Tech WR Jr
Cody Thompson Toledo WR Sr
Jordan Chunn Troy RB rSr
Rae Juan Marbley Tulane LB Sr
Jarrod Franklin Tulane CB rSr
Terren Encalade Tulane WR rJr
Dontrell Hilliard Tulane RB Sr
Jeremy Smith Tulsa Edge Sr
McKinley Whitfield Tulsa DS Jr
Justin Hobbs Tulsa WR rJr
D’Angelo Brewer Tulsa RB Sr
Tevin Crews UAB LB rSr
Darius Williams UAB CB rJr
Anthony Rush UAB NT Jr
Andre Wilson UAB WR rJr
Mike Hughes UCF CB Jr
Adarius Pickett UCLA DS rJr
Caleb Wilson UCLA TE rSo
Christian Rector USC DT rSo
Iman Marshall USC CB Jr
Rasheem Green USC DT Jr
Deontay Burnett USC WR Sr
Darren Carrington Utah WR rSr
Dax Raymond Utah State TE rSo
Ladarius Wiley Vanderbilt DS Sr
Ryan White Vanderbilt DS rSr
Dare Odeyingbo Vanderbilt DT Jr
Quin Blanding Virginia DS Sr
Juan Thornhill Virginia CB Jr
Andrew Motuapuaka Virginia Tech LB rSr
Terrell Edmunds Virginia Tech DS rJr
Mook Reynolds Virginia Tech LB Jr
Cam Phillips Virginia Tech WR Sr
Jessie Bates Wake Forest DS rSo
Amari Henderson Wake Forest CB rSo
Mike Daniels West Virginia CB Sr
Al-Rasheed Benton West Virginia LB rSr
Joel Iyiegbuniwe Western Kentucky Edge rJr
Asantay Brown Western Michigan LB Sr
Donnie Ernsberger Western Michigan TE Sr
D’Cota Dixon Wisconsin DS Sr
Youhanna Ghaifan Wyoming DT rSo
Marcus Epps Wyoming DS rJr

 

Midseason Offensive and Defensive Market Share Data Collection

Here is a spreadsheet with offensive and defensive market share of 2017 CFB players at the midseason point 2018 Prebowl stats. I did a quick color code to give you an idea of what the production means potential wise. However, there are numerous other variables that are not accounted for yet like SOS, athleticism and age. This is purely production, but it should highlight players that are performing well so you can check them out to see if the film lines up with the data. I’d use the analogy that if a player hits a All-Pro potential mark, it means the same as if a DE runs a 4.5.

It doesn’t mean that DE is destined to become elite, or even good. But since most of the great DEs usually run 4.5, it’d be a good idea to at least give that player a look. There are over 4,000+ players in this defensive data set alone. So the ability to filter that 4,000+ list to less than 300 is the point of analytics.  So I hope you enjoy the spreadsheet, and if you have any questions feel free to leave a comment or tweet at me @Jimetrics .