Welcome to the 2017 NFL Draft live analysis page. This page will go live thirty minutes before the NFL Draft at 7:30 P.M. Eastern. I will give my first initial thoughts and predictions. And I will update throughout the night with my impressions as the selections are made. With the main goal of giving some insight into what type of data/analytics if any were used in the selection, and how that may or may not pay off in the long-term. Be sure to check back to this page through the draft and have a nice Draft day.
Lastly, make sure you check out my 2017 NFL Draft Analytics guide here. Link is in the description. There are a lot of very talented data guys out there. But I promise you, none provide as in depth of an approach as I do. Combining all of the major facets of data evaluation including age, production, athleticism and physical characteristics backed by decades(not years) worth of evidence. The draft is already here, get your copy today.
Hello Everybody, welcome to the eve of the 2017 NFL Draft. Running a little late, but I’m here. Feel free to leave a comment if you have questions.
Cleveland Browns select: Myles Garrett, DE, Texas A&M
90+ percentile explosiveness and speed.
Plus Julius Peppers like market share production and a similar physical profile to most elite pass rushers.
Chicago Bears trade up to select: Mitch Trubisky
Hit both HS and College markers for a Pro Bowl quarterback.
Only one year of production at a relatively older age does not bode well from a historical perspective.
Questionable pick in terms of draft capital given up for.
San Francisco 49ers select: Soloman Thomas
Justin Houston level athlete.
Khalil Mack market share production against top competition.
Jacksonville Jaguars select: Leonard Fournette
Similar profile to Demarco Murray with All-Pro production.
Lack of agility testing is concerning.
Tennessee Titans select: Corey Davis
Elite market share production, but did not dominate his level of competition the way Randy Moss did.
Lack of testing also hurts his projection.
New York Jets select: Jamal Adams, DS, LSU
Reggie Nelson level athlete
Good production, but lacks elite solo tackle market share indicating an elite strong safety. And lack elite pass deflection market share in terms of an elite free safety.
San Diego Chargers Select: Mike Williams, WR, Clemson
Averageish athlete in terms of explosiveness and speed
Hasn’t been a Pro Bowler with his market share production since the 1990s.
Carolina Panthers Select: Christian McCaffrey
All-Pro level production
Elite flexibility for his size
Below average arm length. Only RBs with as short of arms to become a long-term starter since 2002 NFL Draft class were Chris Johnson and C.J. Spiller.
Cincinnati Bengals select: John Ross
Elite speed with similar qualities to Santana Moss and Joey Galloway
3-Time Pro Bowl production
Injury history is concerning
Kansas City Chiefs select: Patrick Mahomes
Pro Bowl level college production
High School production is concerning by not hitting starter level production.
However, with Andy Reid as his mentor. I can see Mahomes becoming a Donovan McNabb/Brett Favre like career.
New Orleans Saints select: Marshon Lattimore
Great explosiveness and elite speed
His market share production is not All-Pro level.
Lacks elite arm length.
Similar traits to Justin Gilbert due to skipping agility drills.
Houston Texans Select: Deshaun Watson
Best indicators of any quarterback in this class.
Elite college and high school production.
Arizona Cardinals Select: Haason Reddick, LB, Temple
Pro Bowl level production for an Edge rusher.
Age is a concern in terms of All-Pro upside.
Philadelphia Eagles Select: Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee
Elite production against top competition
Similar profile to Terrell Suggs.
Lacks elite explosiveness and speed for his size to say he is risk free.
Indianapolis Colts Select: Malik Hooker
Very good production and age.
Did not test to judge athleticism.
Baltimore Ravens select: Marlon Humphrey, CB, Alabama
Stanford Routt athleticism.
Lack elite level pass deflection market share.
Washington Redskins Select: Jonathan Allen, DT, Alabama
Great overall production
Good, but not great athleticism traits.
Tennessee Titans Select: Adoree Jackson, CB, USC
Good athleticism and production.
Lacks elite length and size.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Select: O.J. Howard, TE, Alabama
Pro Bowl level production.
Lacks elite explosiveness.
Denver Broncos Select: Garrett Bolles, OT/OG, Utah
Good athlete, but lack height profile of elite tackles.
Better fit inside.
Detroit Lions Select: Jarrad Davis, LB, Florida
Above average explosiveness and speed
Did not hit All-Pro or Pro Bowl level production marks
Miami Dolphins Select: Charles Harris, DE, Missouri
Poor athleticism profile.
Good production profile.
New York Giants Select: Evan Engram
Great athleticism profile.
Todd Christensen production level.
Oakland Raiders Select: Gareon Conley, CB, Ohio State
Good athleticism traits.
Lacks production and similar to Justin Gilbert in that regard.
Cleveland Browns Select: Jabrill Peppers
Elite explosiveness and speed
Lack INT market share to become an elite safety.
Small version of Eric Reid.
Atlanta Falcons select: Takkarist McKinley
Kamerion Wimbley level athlete
Great production across the board
Poor value compared to other options
Buffalo Bills Select: Tre White
D.J. Hayden level athlete
Good production across the board
Dallas Cowboys Select: Taco Charlton, DE, Michigan
Above average explosiveness and flexibility.
Below average speed.
Average production across the board.
Cleveland Browns Select: David Njoku, TE, Miami
All-Pro level production
Above average production across the board at a very young age.
Pittsburgh Steelers Select: T.J. Watt
Pro Bowl level athleticism and Production.
Scott Fujita like.
San Francisco 49ers Select: Reuben Foster
Good not great solo tackle market share.
No athletic testing to determine much.
New Orleans Saints Select: Ryan Ramcyzk
Good overall physical profile, but no athleticism to determine overall upside.
Best Availables for Day 2.