2017 NFL Free Agency Analytics Profile: Adrian Peterson

2017 Free Agency Profiles  

Adrian Peterson

Running Back

Team Minnesota Vikings
Age (On Draft Day) 22.11
Height 6-1
Weight 217
Arm Length 32.125
Hand Size 9.5
MSA Percentile 98.40
Market Share Score 96.68
Age Percentile 79
Explosive Lower Body Percentile 85.32
Speed Percentile 89.42
Dynamic Speed Percentile 54.96
3-Cone 7.09
Bench Did not perform
Best NFL Production Score 99.70
Three-year NFL Production average 50.02

 

Prospect CHECKLIST

Yes All-Pro Height Threshold 5-8 or Taller 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since the 1989 NFL draft class were 5-8 or >
 Yes 31” Arm Length or Longer 92% of Long-term Starters had at least 31’ Arm Length since 1999 NFL Draft Class
 Yes 8 7/8 Inch Hand Size or Bigger 100% of All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since the 1999 NFL draft class had at least 8 7/8-inch hand size or >
 Yes 5-Time All-Pro and 5-Time Pro Bowl MSA Percentile: 70 or Higher 100% of 5-Time All-Pro and 5-Time Pro Bowl RBs since the 1969 NFL Draft Class had at least 65 MSA Percentile Score or >
 Yes 3-Time Pro Bowl MSA Percentile: 59 or Higher 93% of 3-Time Pro Bowl RBs since 1969 NFL Draft Class had at least 59 Percentile MSA Percentile Score or >
 Yes Long-term Starter MSA Percentile: 51 or Higher 91% of all RBs since the 1969 NFL Draft Class with at least 64 starts in their career had at least a 51 MSA Rating Percentile Score or >
 Yes All-Pro Age Percentile of 79 or Higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro RBs since the 1989 NFL Draft Class were in the 79 or Higher Percentile of age ranked from youngest to oldest on draft day
Yes Pro Bowl Age Percentile of 57 or Higher 100% of Multiple Pro Bowl RBs since the 1989 NFL Draft Class were in the 57 Percentile or >
 Yes All-Pro Market Share Production Percentile: 89 or Higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro RBs since the 1981 NFL Draft Class had a MS production score of 89 or higher
 Yes 5-Time Pro Bowl Market Share Production Percentile: 69.45 or Higher 75% of 5-Time Pro Bowl RBs since the 1981 NFL Draft Class had a MS production score of 69.45 or higher
 Yes 3-Time Pro Bowl Market Share Production Percentile: 51.91 or Higher 88% of 3-Time Pro Bowl RBs since the 1981 NFL Draft Class had a MS production score of 51.91 or higher
 Yes Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 4 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since 1999 had at least a score of 4 on the explosive lower body strength score
 Yes Speed Score: 32.4 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since 1999 had at least a speed score of 32.4 or higher
 Yes Flexibility Score: 39.6 or Higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since 1999 had at least a flexibility score of 39.6
 Yes Athleticism Score: 79.28 or higher 90% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since 1999 had at least a one athleticism score (Explosive lower body, speed, or flexibility) of 79.28
 Yes 3-Cone: 7.09 or faster 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since 1999 had a 3-Cone of 7.09 or faster
 Yes Bench: 17 or More 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since 1999 had at least 18 reps on the bench press

*MSA Rating: The average score of a prospect’s market share production, strength of schedule and age percentile scores

*Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s vertical, broad jump and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Speed Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s 40-yard dash and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Flexibility Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s short shuttle, 3-Cone and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

NFL Market Share Production

adrian-peterson

Metric Recommendation: Adrian Peterson is a very hard RB to project due to his age and past production. Peterson was a generational back coming out of Oklahoma from a statistical standpoint. Only further backed up by his production in the NFL. And as such if you had a piece data saying he’s done as a RB. I’d tell you in Adrian’s case you might be wrong more than most other cases.

But ultimately with his production yo-yoing from 2014-16. I’d say it’s best to pay Peterson average starting RB money for the future. Because you could get another season by 2015 where he bounces back in 2017. However, his fluctuations in production are a big enough red flag at this point to consider his downfall soon. Because as much as Peterson has shown an aversion to most trends at RB, the one trend I don’t think he’ll be able to out run is age.

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