2017 Free Agency Profiles: Marquess Wilson

2017 Free Agency Profiles  

Marquess Wilson

Wide Receiver

Team Washington State
Age (On Draft Day) 20.62
Height 6-3
Weight 194
Arm Length 31.125
Hand Size 9.25
Age Percentile 99.73
Production Percentile 86.51
Explosive Lower Body Strength Percentile 30
Speed Percentile 55.10
Flexibility Percentile 66.82
Best NFL Production Year Score 62.48
Three-year average NFL production 45.09803922

 

Prospect CHECKLIST

 Yes All-Pro Age Percentile 80 or Higher 90% of Multiple All-Pro WRs since the 1985 NFL Draft Class were in the 80 Percentile or Higher ranked from youngest to oldest
 Yes Pro Bowl Age Percentile 51 or Higher 91% of Multiple Pro Bowl WRs since the 1985 NFL Draft Class were in the 54 Percentile or >
 Yes 5-Time All-Pro Market Share Production Percentile: 85 or Higher 100% of 5-Time All-Pro WRs since the 1969 NFL Draft Class were in the 85 Percentile or Higher
 Yes 3-Time All-Pro Market Share Production Percentile: 80 or Higher 95% of 3-Time All-Pro WRs since the 1985 NFL Draft Class were in the 80 Percentile or >
 Yes 3-Time Pro Bowl Market Share Production Percentile: 68 or Higher 100% of 3-Time Pro Bowl WRs since the 1985 NFL Draft Class were in the 68 Percentile or >
 Yes Long-term Starter Market Share Production Percentile: 58 or Higher 95% of all Long-term Starting WRs since the 1985 NFL Draft Class were in the 58 Percentile or >
 No 6-2 or Taller Arm Length: 32 5/8-Inches 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs at 6-2 or Taller had at least 32 5/8-Inch Arm Length since 1999 NFL Draft Class
 N/A 6-1 or Shorter Arm Length: 29 3/4-Inches 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs at 6-1 or Shorter had at least 29 3/4-Inch Arm Length since 1999 NFL Draft Class
 Yes 8 7/8-Inch Hand Size 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs had at least 8 7/8-Inch Hand Size since 1999 NFL Draft Class
 Yes 5-9 or Taller 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs were at least 5-9 or Taller since the 1999 NFL Draft Class
 Yes Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 7.19 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs since 1999 had an explosive lower body strength score of 7.19 or higher
 Yes Speed Score: 24.75 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs since 1999 had a speed score of 24.75 or higher
 Yes Flexibility Score: 9.39 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs since 1999 had a flexibility score of 9.39 or higher
 Yes Athleticism Score: 54.16 or higher 94% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl WRs since 1999 had at least one athleticism score (explosive lower body, speed, or flexibility) of 54.16 or higher.

*Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s vertical, broad jump and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Speed Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s 40-yard dash and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Flexibility Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s short shuttle, 3-Cone and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

Marquess Wilson NFL Market Share Production

marquess-wilson-2

Metric Recommendation: Wilson is a case where most of the pre-draft success indicators were positive. But has not found substantial success in four years of NFL experience. However, as someone who is actually younger than some of the prospect’s coming out in the 2017 NFL draft class. He’s worth a look from his pre-draft indicators. And the number one question that comes from Wilson’s profile is whether he is an elite level route runner?

As his athleticism and arm length for his size make Wilson neither an athletic or physical mismatch. In order to be elite, he has to win with skills that can’t be easily measured. Thus making Wilson a very high risk prospect as he hasn’t proven he can produce at a starter level while also having disadvantages physically and athletically. I would recommend at most a backup salary of 683,510 adjusting for salary cap increases. He has proven he can be an average backup in the NFL, and should be compensated as such.

But you shouldn’t bank on his long shot potential as the chances of NFL success drop dramatically in those who can’t produce at a high level by their sophomore season.

 

 

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