2017 Free Agency Profile: Carlos Hyde

2017 Free Agency Profiles

Carlos Hyde

Running Back

Team San Francisco 49ers
Age (On Draft Day) 22.64
Height 6-0
Weight 230
Arm Length 32
Hand Size 9.625
MSA Percentile 65.46
Age Percentile 57.69
Explosive Lower Body Percentile 74.20
Speed Percentile 67.37
Dynamic Speed Percentile 55.76
3-Cone 7.17
Bench 19
Best NFL Production Score 87.49
Three-year NFL Production average 68.14283

 

Prospect CHECKLIST

Yes All-Pro Height Threshold 5-8 or Taller 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since the 1989 NFL draft class were 5-8 or >
 Yes 31” Arm Length or Longer 92% of Long-term Starters had at least 31’ Arm Length since 1999 NFL Draft Class
 Yes 8 7/8 Inch Hand Size or Bigger 100% of All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since the 1999 NFL draft class had at least 8 7/8-inch hand size or >
 No 5-Time All-Pro and 5-Time Pro Bowl MSA Percentile: 70 or Higher 100% of 5-Time All-Pro and 5-Time Pro Bowl RBs since the 1969 NFL Draft Class had at least 65 MSA Percentile Score or >
 Yes 3-Time Pro Bowl MSA Percentile: 59 or Higher 93% of 3-Time Pro Bowl RBs since 1969 NFL Draft Class had at least 59 Percentile MSA Percentile Score or >
 Yes Long-term Starter MSA Percentile: 51 or Higher 91% of all RBs since the 1969 NFL Draft Class with at least 64 starts in their career had at least a 51 MSA Rating Percentile Score or >
 No All-Pro Age Percentile of 79 or Higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro RBs since the 1989 NFL Draft Class were in the 79 or Higher Percentile of age ranked from youngest to oldest on draft day
 Yes Pro Bowl Age Percentile of 57 or Higher 100% of Multiple Pro Bowl RBs since the 1989 NFL Draft Class were in the 57 Percentile or >
 Yes Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: 4 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since 1999 had at least a score of 4 on the explosive lower body strength score
 Yes Speed Score: 32.4 or higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since 1999 had at least a speed score of 32.4 or higher
 Yes Flexibility Score: 39.6 or Higher 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since 1999 had at least a flexibility score of 39.6
 No Athleticism Score: 79.28 or higher 90% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since 1999 had at least a one athleticism score (Explosive lower body, speed, or flexibility) of 79.28
 No 3-Cone: 7.09 or faster 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since 1999 had a 3-Cone of 7.09 or faster
 Yes Bench: 17 or More 100% of Multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl RBs since 1999 had at least 17 reps on the bench press

 

*MSA Rating: The average score of a prospect’s market share production, strength of schedule and age percentile scores

*Explosive Lower Body Strength Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s vertical, broad jump and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Speed Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s 40-yard dash and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

*Flexibility Score: A score formulated from a prospect’s short shuttle, 3-Cone and mass density measured against all his positional peers since 1998.

NFL Market Share Production

carlos-hyde

Metric Recommendation: Hyde has all the physical characteristics to be a starting NFL RB.  But doesn’t possess one athletic quality to conclude he can become a multiple All-Pro or Pro Bowl back. Let alone lacking certain athletic attributes that consistently dominant NFL RBs in at least a 7.09 time on the 3-Cone. Similar types of athletes like Hyde are Eddie Lacy, Cedric Benson and Marion Barber as the higher end version. They are explosive enough to work in ZBS schemes.

And must work in ZBS schemes as they lack world class speed. But it’s the lack of great flexibility that limits how much they can out leverage linebackers past the initial hole. Meaning any number of yards after contact is accomplished largely through sheer force of will. However, that gets old and tiring quickly in the NFL if you don’t have some athletic qualities to make winning easier. That’s precisely the dilemma that Hyde faces.

He has the type of athletic qualities that work now, but will not guarantee long-term success. He’s at risk of either wearing down due to the flaws in his athletic ability.  Or Hyde faces being replaced with a more athletic back who will be more efficient with his carries. Thus, I would recommend a salary of 4,260,000 to 6,656,250. This puts Hyde’s floor and future ceiling into perspective.

Hyde can be a starting running back for any number of teams and produce as such. But in the world of running backs where their lifespans are already short. It’s not wise to invest heavily into backs who end up with the shortest of lifespans compared to their peers. While also not giving you the most robust return on your investment either. In short, Hyde is back I wouldn’t avoid, but I would be looking for every opportunity to upgrade as soon as possible.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s