2016 NFL Draft Pre-Combine Metrical Profile: Carl Lawson

Name: Carl Lawson

Position: Edge
College: Auburn
Height/Weight: 6-2, 261
Age on Draft Day: 21.84

Age Metrics

Age Percentile: 91.01
Hit 81 Percentile or higher threshold: Yes
Hit 64 Percentile or higher threshold: Yes

Production Metrics

Market Share Solo Tackle Percentile: 11.41
Market Share Sack Percentile: 28.1
Market Share TFL Percentile: 27.24

Carl Lawson update

Hit 80 Percentile or higher Solo Tackle MS: No
Hit 71 Percentile or higher Solo Tackle MS: No

Hit 83 Percentile or higher Sack MS: No
Hit 68 Percentile or higher Sack MS: No

Hit 91 Percentile or higher TFL MS: No
Hit 78 Percentile or higher TFL MS: No

Major Metrical Strengths:
• Hit age threshold for All-Pro and Pro Bowl edge rushers
Major Metrical Weaknesses:
• Did not hit solo tackle, sack or TFL thresholds for All-Pro or Pro Bowl edge rushers
Similar Successful Players with this metric profile: Chauncey Davis, Robert Geathers and Antwan Blake
Metrical Success Score with Non-Athletic Testing: 1/8
Risk Aversive Metric Grade Without Athletic Testing: 1/11

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2016 NFL Draft Pre-Combine Metrical Profile: Maliek Collins

Name: Maliek Collins

Position: DL
College: Nebraska
Height/Weight: 6-2, 300
Age on Draft Day: 21.07

Age Metrics

Age Percentile: 98.08
Hit 67 or higher Threshold: Yes

Production Metrics

Market Share Solo Tackle Percentile: 55.76
Market Share Sack Percentile: 76.02
Market Share TFL Percentile: 81.90

Hit 87 All-Pro Percentile or higher Solo Tackle MS: No
Hit 71 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher Solo Tackle MS: No

Hit 92 All-Pro Percentile or higher Sack MS: No
Hit 74 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher Sack MS: Yes

Hit 87 All-Pro Percentile or higher TFL MS: No
Hit 79 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher TFL MS: Yes


Major Metrical Strengths:
• Hit age threshold
• Hit Sack and TFL Pro Bowl Percentile
Major Metrical Weaknesses:
• Did not hit All-Pro or Pro Bowl Solo Tackle MS threshold
• Did not hit All-Pro sack or TFL threshold
Similar Successful Players with this metric profile: B.J. Raji, Eddie Goldman and Jerel Worthy
Metrical Success Score with Non-Athletic Testing: 3/7
Risk Aversive Metric Grade Without Athletic Testing: 3/10

2016 NFL Draft Pre-Combine Metrical Profile: A’Shawn Robinson

Name: A’Shawn Robinson

Position: DL
College: Alabama
Height/Weight: 6-3, 320
Age on Draft Day: 21.12

Age Metrics

Age Percentile: 97.88
Hit 67 or higher Threshold: Yes

Production Metrics

Market Share Solo Tackle Percentile: 52.16
Market Share Sack Percentile: 94.29
Market Share TFL Percentile: 75.84

Hit 87 All-Pro Percentile or higher Solo Tackle MS: No
Hit 71 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher Solo Tackle MS: No

Hit 92 All-Pro Percentile or higher Sack MS: Yes
Hit 74 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher Sack MS: Yes

Hit 87 All-Pro Percentile or higher TFL MS: No
Hit 79 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher TFL MS: No

A'Shawn Robinson Metric Profile

Major Metrical Strengths:
• Hit age threshold
• Hit All-Pro and Pro Bowl sack MS threshold
Major Metrical Weaknesses:
• Did not hit solo tackle or TFL threshold for multiple All-Pro and Pro Bowl DTs

Similar Successful prospects with this profile: B.J. Raji, Jared Odrick and Eddie Goldman

Metrical Success Score With Non-Athletic Testing: 3/7

Risk Aversive Metric Grade Without Athletic Testing: 3/10

2016 NFL Draft Pre-Combine Metrical Profile: Kenny Clark

Name: Kenny Clark

Position: DL                     

College: UCLA

Height/Weight:  6-3, 315

Age on Draft Day: 20.58

Age Metrics

Age Percentile: 99.27

Hit 67 or higher Threshold: Yes

Production Metrics

Market Share Solo Tackle Percentile: 95.52

Market Share Sack Percentile: 82.67

Market Share TFL Percentile: 81.21

Kenny Clark Chart

Hit 87 All-Pro Percentile or higher Solo Tackle MS: Yes
Hit 71 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher Solo Tackle MS: Yes

Hit 92 All-Pro Percentile or higher Sack MS: No
Hit 74 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher Sack MS: Yes

Hit 87 All-Pro Percentile or higher TFL MS: No
Hit 79 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher TFL MS: Yes

Major Metrical Strengths:

  • Hit age threshold
  • Hit solo tackle threshold for All-Pro DTs
  • Hit Pro Bowl threshold for Sack and TFL MS

Major Metrical Weaknesses:

  • Did not All-Pro Sack or TFL threshold

Similar Successful Players with Metrical Profile: Sheldon Richardson and Fred Robbins

Metrical Success Score with Non-Athletic Testing: 5/7
Risk Aversive Metric Grade Without Athletic Testing: 5/10

2016 NFL Draft Pre-Combine Metrical Profile: DeForest Buckner

Name: DeForest Buckner

Position: DL                     

College: Oregon

Height/Weight:  6-6, 286

Age on Draft Day: 1994?

Age Metrics

Age Percentile: 79.46 at worst

Hit 67 or higher Threshold: Yes

Production Metrics

Market Share Solo Tackle Percentile: 97.44

Market Share Sack Percentile: 93.45

Market Share TFL Percentile: 94.88

DeForest Buckner Production

Hit 87 All-Pro Percentile or higher Solo Tackle MS: Yes
Hit 71 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher Solo Tackle MS: Yes

Hit 92 All-Pro Percentile or higher Sack MS: Yes
Hit 74 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher Sack MS: Yes

Hit 87 All-Pro Percentile or higher TFL MS: Yes
Hit 79 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher TFL MS: Yes

Major Metrical Strengths:

  • Hit age threshold
  • Hit solo tackle, sack and TFL thresholds for All-Pro and Pro Bowl players

Major Metrical Weaknesses:

  • N/A

Similar Successful Players with Metrical Profile: Leonard Williams and Calais Campbell

Metrical Success Score with Non-Athletic Testing: 7/7

Risk Aversive Metric Grade Without Athletic Testing: 7/10

2016 NFL Draft Pre-Combine Metrical Profile: Robert Nkemdiche

Name: Robert Nkemdiche

Position: DL                     

College: Ole Miss

Height/Weight:  6-2, 270

Age on Draft Day: 21.69

Age Metrics

Age Percentile: 94.11

Hit 67 or higher Threshold: Yes

Production Metrics

Market Share Solo Tackle Percentile: 15.36

Market Share Sack Percentile: 57.84

Market Share TFL Percentile: 40.99

Robert Nkemdiche

Hit 87 All-Pro Percentile or higher Solo Tackle MS: No
Hit 71 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher Solo Tackle MS: No

Hit 92 All-Pro Percentile or higher Sack MS: No
Hit 74 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher Sack MS: No

Hit 87 All-Pro Percentile or higher TFL MS: No
Hit 79 Pro Bowl Percentile or higher TFL MS: No

Major Metrical Strengths:

  • Hit age threshold

Major Metrical Weaknesses:

  • Did not hit solo tackle, sack or TFL thresholds

Similar Successful Players with this metric profile: N/A

Metrical Success Score with Non-Athletic Testing: 1/7

Risk Aversive Metric Grade Without Athletic Testing: 1/10

General Notes: There is a general mystery with Robert Nkemdiche in terms of his true size and position. As a freshman he was listed as a strong side DE, and the data used above was his best year performances as a DT. I also ran his production through the DE specific pool, and he did not meet any of the DE marks either. I will have a article in 2016 detailing my main concerns on tape, but I don’t see any reason he should be a first-round selection on paper even if he tests exceptionally well. Add on the proven recreational drug abuse and now is the time for everyone to reevaluate where they value this young man in the draft.

2014 NFL Draft Metrical Profile: Khalil Mack

Name: Khalil Mack

Position: Edge                  

College: Buffalo

Height/Weight: 6-3, 251

Age on Draft Day: 23.22

Age Metrics

Age Percentile: 45

Hit 64 or higher threshold: No

Production Metrics

Market Share Solo Tackle Percentile: 99

Market Share Sack Percentile: 62

Market Share TFL Percentile: 97

Hit 68 or higher Solo Tackle Market Share Threshold: Yes

Hit 75 or higher Sack Market Share Threshold: No

Hit 75 or higher TFL Market Share Threshold: Yes

Khalil Mack chart

Athletic Metrics

Explosive Lower Body Strength Percentile: 94

Speed Percentile: 94

Dynamic Speed Percentile: 92

Athlete Type: Explosiveness/Speed Dominant

Khalil Mack chart 2

Major Metrical Strengths:

  • Hit solo tackle and TFL thresholds
  • Above average lower body strength, speed and dynamic speed

 

Major Metrical Weaknesses:

  • Did not hit sack threshold or age threshold

 

Metrical Success Recommendation: Long-term starter with athletic upside to become multiple Pro Bowler

Risk Aversive Grade as Edge: Second-round

Risk Aversive Grade as a Pursuit LB: First-round due to solo tackle market share

2016 NFL Draft Pre-Combine Metrical Profile: Myles Jack

Name: Myles Jack

Position: LB                                    

College: UCLA

Height/Weight:  6-0, 230               

Age on Draft Day: 20.66

Age Metrics

Age Percentile: 99

Hit 73 or higher Threshold:  Yes

Production Metrics

Market Share Solo Tackle Percentile: 64.76

Hit 75 or higher Solo Tackle Market Share Threshold:  No

Myles Jack

Major Metrical Strengths:

  • Hit age threshold

Major Metrical Weaknesses:

    • Did not hit solo tackle threshold for multiple All-Pro/Pro Bowl pursuit LBs

Metrical Success Recommendation: Potential Day 2 LB pending athletic testing

Risk Aversive Grade Without Athletic Testing: Day 3

2016 NFL Draft Pre-Combine Metrical Profile: Leonard Floyd

Name: Leonard Floyd

 Position: Edge                                 

College: Georgia

Height/Weight: 6-4, 225                

Age on Draft Day: 23.59

Age Metrics

Age Percentile: 17

Hit 64 or higher threshold: No

Production Metrics

Market Share Solo Tackle Percentile: 90

Market Share Sack Percentile: 48

Market Share TFL Percentile: 53

Floyd chart

Hit 68 or higher Solo Tackle Market Share Threshold: Yes

Hit 75 or higher Sack Market Share Threshold: No

Hit 75 or higher TFL Market Share Threshold: No

Major Metrical Strengths:

  • Hit solo tackle threshold

Major Metrical Weaknesses:

  • Did not hit age, sack or TFL thresholds

Metrical Success Recommendation: Potential Fourth-rounder pending athletic testing

Risk Aversive Grade Without Athletic Testing: Seventh-round

For question or more information about the metrics used above contact James Cobern at james_cobern@yahoo.com